6-socket Orb of Fusing Community Log (done)



500+ jewellery
1720 fuse .
8times 5l
0 times 6l



300+ jewellery
550 fuses.
7times 5l
1times 6l
IGN : WhySoDelicious
Последняя редакция: Mark0716#4709. Время: 2 апр. 2013 г., 12:30:11


375 Fusings
---------------
371x 4L or less
3x 5L
1x 6L

118 fusings
------------
0x 5L
0x 6L
Running isn't freedom. You should know that.
ighnaz - Thanks for the beta key!!!!
I HAVE NO MORE BETA KEYS!!
Последняя редакция: Soroban#6789. Время: 4 апр. 2013 г., 01:00:12
"
chup_ написал:
1606 fusings used

no 6 link
8x 5 link


up to 1643 fusings used

no 6 link
9x 5 link
Последняя редакция: chup_#0420. Время: 2 апр. 2013 г., 16:38:59
"
chup_ написал:
1606 fusings used

no 6 link
8x 5 link


FINALLY! 1,710 fusings used, 9 times 5 linked


38 Fusings, all in one session.

5L: 0
6L: 1
I have a quite strong feeling that the chances for respective links are:

2L: 1/2 = 1/2!
3L: 1/6 = 1/3!
4L: 1/24 = 1/4!
5L: 1/120 = 1/5!
6L: 1/720 = 1/6!


Why?
As I'm extremely tired and therefore not able to explain my thoughts in words, I'll explain it in a short (and most possibly badly written) script.

while linkindex<=numberofsockets

prob=arbitrary
probneg=arbitrary
check=random(1,y)
if check==1
link linkindex
prob=prob+probneg
else
prob=arbitrary (same as before)
linkindex=linkindex+1

And as the natural way would be to put prob=2 and probneg=1, this results in a simple factorial, 1/x! where x is the wanted number of linked sockets. This also corresponds quite well to the chances estimated by this thread.

Does that make sense or am I just mumbling on mindlessly?

If I'm correct, this means that getting a 5l on a 6s is as probable as getting it on a 5s becouse you have 2 possibilities of getting 5l on a 6s, both requiring one failed 1/2 roll, resulting in 1/5! even on a 6s.
IGN: Ralfe


640 Jewelers

1 fusing

wtf
Abyssus Crit Cleave - http://www.pathofexile.com/forum/view-thread/381106
OP completely up-to-date.
"
Riakkek написал:
Does that make sense or am I just mumbling on mindlessly?
It's a more interesting guess than most, but we know the Jeweler's Orb ratios were (and possible still are) 100:90:80:30:5:1, and the Fusing data so far shows 5L and 6L occuring at a ratio eerily close to 5:1. So it's probably something in a similar format to the (old?) Jeweler's ratios.
When Stephen Colbert was killed by HYDRA's Project Insight in 2014, the comedy world lost a hero. Since his life model decoy isn't up to the task, please do not mistake my performance as political discussion. I'm just doing what Steve would have wanted.
Последняя редакция: ScrotieMcB#2697. Время: 3 апр. 2013 г., 02:34:15

30ish jewelers to 6s it :D

I thought the odds were more something like 600fusing to get 1 6l in average; apparently it's even worse. 600 is already around 20 exalt worth.


5l: 2
6l: 0

602

Ended with a 3l lol.

=.= Pls ignore my old threads (more than 1 month ago) =.=
Последняя редакция: Oracle87#3935. Время: 3 апр. 2013 г., 18:12:37

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