6-socket Orb of Fusing Community Log (done)

Based on this data, what is the chance I will be able to 6 link an item with 1000 consecutive fusings?
IGN: Arlianth
Check out my LA build: 1782214
"
Nephalim написал:
Based on this data, what is the chance I will be able to 6 link an item with 1000 consecutive fusings?

Do the math. The chance to 6L seems to be around .086% and .142%.
Lowest Percentage = (1-(1-0.00086)^1000)*100 = 57.6% chance of 6L after 1000 fusings.
Highest Percentage = (1-(1-0.00142)^1000)*100 = 75.85% chance of 6L after 1000 fusings.
IGN: TsuruyaNyro
OP updated. Data seemed a little weird; since it was a decent chunk of data, and all since the 0.10.5 patch, there's a slight chance they stealth-buffed 5L/6L chances. I want to emphasize that this chance is slight; I'd need a lot more data to be confident this is what happened, and not just a lucky sample.
When Stephen Colbert was killed by HYDRA's Project Insight in 2014, the comedy world lost a hero. Since his life model decoy isn't up to the task, please do not mistake my performance as political discussion. I'm just doing what Steve would have wanted.
Последняя редакция: ScrotieMcB#2697. Время: 13 апр. 2013 г., 09:09:14


45 more fusings back to 5L
at least its a different 5L :(


100 fuses:

5L - 0

6L - 0

0L - 1


Exactly 320 fusings used - i had collected 1001 fusing in anticipation or the worst but it seems i lucked out for once.

320 fusings
----------
4L: 318
5L: 1
6L: 1
IGN: Arlianth
Check out my LA build: 1782214


52 fusings
----------
5L : 0
6L : 0


Fusings used: 351
<= 4L: 350
5L: 1
6L: 0
Update to former post: 72 more Fusings used
5L:0
6L:0
CURRENT STATE


FUSINGS USED: 536
Total 5Ls Hit so far: 2
Total 6Ls Hit: 0

*die*
bye bye PoE
Последняя редакция: Selky62#3493. Время: 14 апр. 2013 г., 13:21:00

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