Socket Chances Revealed!

Posted by Chris Wilson over at http://www.reddit.com/r/pathofexile/comments/269vj5/chances_of_socket_numbers_accidentally_made/

1 socket: 32.68%
2 sockets: 29.41%
3 sockets: 26.14%
4 sockets: 9.80%
5 sockets: 1.63%
6 sockets: 0.33%

Sadly he won't tell us the chances for fusing :(
Rng is Rng.
Freedom is not worth having if it does not include the freedom to make mistakes
fancy!
IGN: SplitEpimorphism
Chris had revealed the chance to get a 6 socket long time ago, like before OB (which is 1 out of 300 on average). it's nothing new for 6s but maybe for the rest.

Edit : http://www.pathofexile.com/forum/view-thread/20338 (in the middle of the page)
But I think there was an older one as well
Последняя редакция: Mephisto_n#6597. Время: 23 мая 2014 г., 05:32:30
So to create three 6s by using 15 jewellers TOTAL I am to be considered quite lucky, right?
"
aldorus написал:
So to create three 6s by using 15 jewellers TOTAL I am to be considered quite lucky, right?


pfft no it means you spent over double what you needed to

Скрытый текст
>83
IGN: SplitEpimorphism
"
Allspark501 написал:
Crafting = Gambling

Would it be not much better if the player could just pay a fixed amount of orbs for creating sockets/links on a item?


The system in place is quite reasonable for <= 4L.
IGN: SplitEpimorphism
Последняя редакция: syrioforel#7028. Время: 23 мая 2014 г., 03:18:53
it means 300 jewellers in average to get 6S ? weird, I think it was easier than that...
IGN TylordRampage
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Malone написал:
it means 300 jewellers in average to get 6S ? weird, I think it was easier than that...


300 on average means most people get it in roughly <= 200.
IGN: SplitEpimorphism
Just to raise general math awareness, it is not entirely true that 300 jewelers ~ I get 6S.

Basically, you have (1 - 0.0033) = 0.9967 ~ 99.67% chance NOT to get 6S on every jeweler.

Now, if you invest 300 jewelers, you have exactly

0.9967 ^ 300 chance to NOT get 6S.

0.9967 ^ 300 = 0.371 ~ 37%.

So, by investing 300 jewelers you have 37% chance to NOT get any 6S

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